Identifying monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance in electronic health data

UMMS Affiliation

The Meyers Primary Care Institute; Division of Geriatric Medicine, Department of Medicine; Department of Population and Quantitative Health Sciences; Department of Family Medicine and Community Health; Division of Pulmonary, Allergy and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine

Publication Date


Document Type



Diagnosis | Epidemiology | Health Information Technology | Neoplasms | Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences | Translational Medical Research


PURPOSE: Monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) is a prevalent yet largely asymptomatic precursor to multiple myeloma. Patients with MGUS must undergo regular surveillance and testing, with few known predictors of progression. We developed an algorithm to identify MGUS patients in electronic health data to facilitate large-scale, population-based studies of this premalignant condition.

METHODS: We developed a four-step algorithm using electronic health record and health claims data from men and women aged 50 years or older receiving care from a large, multispecialty medical group between 2007 and 2015. The case definition required patients to have at least two MGUS ICD-9 diagnosis codes within 12 months, at least one serum and/or urine protein electrophoresis and one immunofixation test, and at least one in-office hematology/oncology visit. Medical charts for selected cases were abstracted then adjudicated independently by two physicians. We assessed algorithm validity by positive predictive value (PPV).

RESULTS: We identified 833 people with at least two MGUS diagnosis codes; 429 (52%) met all four algorithm criteria. We randomly selected 252 charts for review, including 206 from patients meeting all four algorithm criteria. The PPV for the 206 algorithm-identified charts was 76% (95% CI, 70%-82%). Among the 49 cases deemed to be false positives (24%), 33 were judged to have multiple myeloma or another lymphoproliferative condition, such as lymphoma.

CONCLUSIONS: We developed a simple algorithm that identified MGUS cases in electronic health data with reasonable accuracy. Inclusion of additional steps to eliminate cases with malignant disease may improve algorithm performance.


UMCCTS funding, administrative claims, algorithms, electronic health records, health care, monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance, pharmacoepidemiology

DOI of Published Version



Epstein MM, Saphirak C, Zhou Y, LeBlanc C, Rosmarin AG, Ash A, Singh S, Fisher K, Birmann BM, Gurwitz JH. Identifying monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance in electronic health data. Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf. 2020 Jan;29(1):69-76. doi: 10.1002/pds.4912. Epub 2019 Nov 17. PMID: 31736189; PMCID: PMC7365702. Link to article on publisher's site

Journal/Book/Conference Title

Pharmacoepidemiology and drug safety

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