Department of Neurology
Analytical, Diagnostic and Therapeutic Techniques and Equipment | Critical Care | Health Services Administration | Nervous System Diseases | Neurology
BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: Prognostication is a routine part of the delivery of neurocritical care for most patients with acute neurocritical illnesses. Numerous prognostic models exist for many different conditions. However, there are concerns about significant gaps in knowledge regarding optimal methods of prognostication.
METHODS: As part of the Arbeitstagung NeuroIntensivMedizin meeting in February 2018 in Wurzburg, Germany, a joint session on prognostication was held between the German NeuroIntensive Care Society and the Neurocritical Care Society. The purpose of this session was to provide presentations and open discussion regarding existing prognostic models for eight common neurocritical care conditions (aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage, intracerebral hemorrhage, acute ischemic stroke, traumatic brain injury, traumatic spinal cord injury, status epilepticus, Guillain-Barre Syndrome, and global cerebral ischemia from cardiac arrest). The goal was to develop a qualitative gap analysis regarding prognostication that could help inform a future framework for clinical studies and guidelines.
RESULTS: Prognostic models exist for all of the conditions presented. However, there are significant gaps in prognostication in each condition. Furthermore, several themes emerged that crossed across several or all diseases presented. Specifically, the self-fulfilling prophecy, lack of accounting for medical comorbidities, and absence of integration of in-hospital care parameters were identified as major gaps in most prognostic models.
CONCLUSIONS: Prognostication in neurocritical care is important, and current prognostic models are limited. This gap analysis provides a summary assessment of issues that could be addressed in future studies and evidence-based guidelines in order to improve the process of prognostication.
Comorbidities, Outcome predictors, Prognostication, Self-fulfilling prophecy
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© The Author(s) 2019, Open Access: This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
DOI of Published Version
Neurocrit Care. 2019 Oct;31(2):231-244. doi: 10.1007/s12028-019-00769-6. Link to article on publisher's site
Wartenberg KE, Hwang DY, Haeusler KG, Muehlschlegel S, Sakowitz OW, Madzar D, Hamer HM, Rabinstein AA, Greer DM, Hemphill JC, Meixensberger J, Varelas PN. (2019). Gap Analysis Regarding Prognostication in Neurocritical Care: A Joint Statement from the German Neurocritical Care Society and the Neurocritical Care Society. Open Access Publications by UMass Chan Authors. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12028-019-00769-6. Retrieved from https://escholarship.umassmed.edu/oapubs/3999
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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.